This season has brought forth the biggest divide of the haves and have nots in Conference USA since the addition of several Sun Belt teams. There is a huge gap between the top teams like Western Kentucky, Marshall, and Louisiana Tech versus the bottom of the conference.
There are 13 football programs in Conference USA. At least one of those programs, possibly many, will have new head coaches for the 2016 season. Some will have changes due to massive failure, while others will have to make a change due to massive success.
Let's take a look at the five teams that are mostly likely to make a change, whether from success or failure.
North Texas: This is the only guaranteed change as they have already fired their head coach. Interim head coach Mike Canales should, but probably wont, get a fair shot at getting his interim label removed. If they do not go with Canales, it will be interesting to see what direction those in charge of the Mean Green go. I would expect a young coordinator or a FCS coach looking to make a splash at the FBS level.
Western Kentucky: While I am not saying he will take a new job, Jeff Brohm's stock will be very high if the Hilltoppers finish the season strong. His name has already been mentioned with several different openings, and some team will try to poach him from WKU. Brohm seems very happy with WKU, but it is hard to turn down a possible dream job. Expect to hear his name with nearly every job opening.
Marshall: Doc Holliday is a little older than what power five programs normally like to hire, but he is an excellent head coach that has Marshall in the running for a conference title on a yearly basis. He is on pace for his third straight 10+ win season with the Thundering Herd. Holliday is extremely happy at Marshall and would not leave unless the perfect job came open. I think there will be many suitors, but Holliday will be at Marshall in 2016.
Florida International: Always the wild card, no one really knows what the Panthers will do. Logically, they would give Turner a fourth season to get the team to a bowl game, but who really knows. Considering the fact that they led Mario Cristobal go after a 3-9 season that followed back to back bowl berths, it would not surprise me to see Ron Turner fired.
Instability has been the name of the game at FIU since the football program was started. Anything could happen at FIU and I would not be surprised.
Southern Miss: Every year, there is a coach that takes his team from a cellar dweller to one of the better in the conference and gets poached by a larger program. The coach that fits that category is Todd Monken. The fact that he has won more games in 2015 than in his two previous seasons combined has caught the eye of other programs.
The main reason to believe that Monken will be in Hattiesburg for the long term is the fear of a team poaching him and finding out that he is a one year wonder. If he puts in two or three seasons of top level CUSA football, schools will be knocking down his door to talk with him.