It's been a dream start the year for SMU. They're 5-0 and their offense is humming. They're averaging 42.6 points per game. It doesn't get much better than that. The only issue is that it's come against a weak schedule. That's holding them back, as they're only ranked #24 in the country.
Sadly for SMU, that's not going to change this week. They play a 1-3 Navy team that they should have no problem dispatching. After all, their high powered offense against a weak Navy defense hardly seems like a fair fight. It'd be shocking to see anything other than a dominant SMU victory.
SMU is the heavy favorite heading into this game. Oddsmakers have them as 13.5 point favorites, and they're given -500 odds to win the game outright. That's an implied 83.3% chance of victory. Meanwhile, Navy is given +425 odds, or an implied 19% chance to pull off the upset.
Again, if SMU doesn't win this game in a blowout, that would be a shocker to the public.
Navy ad SMU have met 22 times in their history. SMU has won just 9 of those games. However, they have won 2 of the last three meetings. That includes a dominant 51 to 30 victory last year.
In fact, the NAVY v. SMU games hardly ever aren't a shootout. In their last 5 matchups, the lowest point total by a single team with 28, the highest was 75. If history is any indication, the scoreboard is going to get lit up.
SMU has a chance to make real waves this year. The AAC Champion will almost assuredly go to a New Years 6 Bowl this year, and SMU is the only real challenge to Cincinnati.
It would take a herculean effort to pull off a victory against the team that many believe will be the first Group of 5 school to make the college football playoff. If SMU is going to do it, they'll need confidence and momentum rolling into that game. That means heading into it unbeaten. This game is should be just another step on the road to that monumental game.