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Underdogs Against the Spread: Top Week 2 G5 Football ATS Picks

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After a 4-1 start in Week 1, it’s time to keep the momentum going in Week 2.

NCAA Football: Fresno State at Southern California Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

We are back to picking winners here at Underdog Dynasty.

It was a 4-1 start to the 2019 college football season as the lone team to let us down last week was Louisiana Tech getting blown out by Texas. This comes off a week where I was not overly confident in my picks because the first week is the hardest to gauge.

When looking at this week’s slate of games, I am feeling much more confident about my picks. That has not always fared well for me in the past, but always remember that this is a marathon and not a sprint. My 76-62-1 record over the last two-plus seasons should give you some confidence moving forward.

With that said, let’s pick some more winners for Week 2.


Overall: 4-1-0

*All lines are according to Bovada and are accurate at the time posted

Army Black Knights (+22) vs. Michigan Wolverines

The Black Knights are 7-3 ATS as an underdog over the last three seasons, while the Fighting Harbaugh’s have gone 6-7 as a home favorite during that span. Time of possession will be the key to this game. Army will keep Michigan off the field and use up as much clock as possible, keeping this game under the 22-point spread.

UCF Knights (-10.5) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

I had to do a double take when I originally saw this line as FAU did little to show that they could slow down a high-octane offense last week against Ohio State. Not only has UCF been unstoppable in the regular season since the start of their magical run, they are a covering machine on the road as well. They are 7-2 ATS on the road since 2017 and are still looking to crack the College Football Playoff by blowing teams out as we saw last week.

North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs (Over 73)

This is one of the G5 games to watch this week as it will be a shootout in Dallas. Mason Fine and Shane Buechele should both rack up over 300 yards passing, and it would not be a shocker if one hits the 400-yard mark. The last time these two teams squared off in Dallas, the Mustangs defeat the Mean Green, 54-32. That’s exactly the type of score I expect again this week.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (+3)

I’m basically repeating what I said last week about Fresno State. They are one of the best teams to bet as an underdog, and yet, Vegas keeps underestimating them for some reason. Over the last three seasons, they are 9-0 ATS as an underdog and 9-2 ATS in non-conference games. The Bulldogs will win this game outright.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Hawaii Warriors (-6.5)

If you have been a regular follower of this piece over the last two-plus seasons, you know of my love for midnight football. Cole McDonald and the Hawaii offense has already beaten one Pac-12 team this season, and that was with McDonald throwing four interceptions in the game. Arizona is a much better team than Oregon State, and Hawaii should have no problem winning this game by at least a touchdown.

Check back with next week for more winning picks and let me know what you think in the comments below or via Twitter @JoeSerp. Until next week, SHOW ME THE MONEY!!