Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, University Park, TX
Kickoff: Saturday, September 14th 6 p.m. CST
TV/Radio: ESPN3. San Marcos: AM 1300, 930 AM, 89.9 FM. DFW: ”The Ticket” 1310 AM/96.7 FM
Series Record: SMU leads the series 1-0
Last Meeting: Mustangs won the last meeting 47-36 in 2008
Betting Line: SMU -17.5 Over/Under, 62.5
Both teams sit at polar opposites right now.
Southern Methodist is 2-0 behind Texas transfer quarterback Shane Buechele with wins against a tough Arkansas State team by seven points and the grounding of a high flying North Texas team. Texas State is 0-2 after getting thrown around like Loki in The Avengers at the hands of Texas A&M (The Hulk) and falling to Wyoming after having a lead collapse on them like a gazebo you bought at a $5 flea market.
The Bobcat defense is stout like a porter, but the offense is still finding it’s identity.
These Ponies Don’t Horse Around
The big story going into 2019 of course was the acquisition of transfer Shane Buechele. A major talent hampered by injuries in Austin, Buechele has been solid so far into 2019.
Buechele has thrown an average of 326 yards a game on a 63.8% completion rate with a 3:1 touchdown ratio.
It’s really good but consider the O-line if you will. Southern Methodist coach Sonny Dykes and Co. made a bold move to the big uglies moving Cobe Bryant to starting right guard and putting Beau Morris at right tackle. The line played excellent, especially Morris. With the new lineup, running back Xavier Jones ripped off 164 yards on the ground with three touchdowns.
SMU only allowed six plays that went for negative yardage in the 49-27 trouncing of North Texas last week. The team also had 500+ yards of offense for the second week in a row.
Three Things To Staying Paw-sitive
*Gresch Jensen got the call to start under center for the Bobcats against Wyoming and threw 394 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Not bad except he also threw two bad picks and fumbled (although it looked like a forward pass). Wyoming only completed eight passes all night, but the turnovers constantly gave the Cowboys good field position. If Jensen can go through his progressions and not become irrational under duress and make better decisions the ‘Cats can win.
*Let’s stay with the offense and talk about the running game. Through the first two games, Texas State has only averaged 1.6 yards a carry. After gaining only eight yards against A&M the ‘Cats slightly improved gaining 50 on the ground against Wyoming. Caleb Twyford got the starting nod last week and will again start. Ball control and execution up front will be another improvement in order for the Bobcats to win.
*Defense has been going hard in the first two games. They definitely improved against Wyoming allowing only 103 yards passing and only two runs over 10 yards. This is the bread and butter of the team and if the two above points can be met the defense can take over and dictate the outcome.
SMU are no slouches and the Bobcats will have their hands full.
If they can repeat the same formula on offense as they did against Wyoming (minus the mistakes) Texas State can have a good chance. SMU’s defense was good enough to halt UNT quarterback Mason Fine and can shut down the Bobcats aerial attack.
Give me the 29-28 Texas State win.