Another successful week has come and gone as we have yet to have a losing weekend in our Underdogs Against the Spread.
Week 5 was the first in which I had multiple losses with Tyler Johnston throwing four interceptions in the loss for UAB, and Nevada absolutely getting blown out by Hawaii at home. Those late night West Coast games have been the biggest struggle for me all season long.
Counting on UConn to score some points for that over to hit was a little worrisome, but UCF did more than enough to get us there. I correctly predicted that Houston would pull off the upset against North Texas as Vegas overreacted to the D’Eriq King news. We nearly had ourselves a third win, but New Mexico scored a touchdown with 43 seconds remaining for a backdoor push.
This week should be a wild one as we are going after some big time spreads this week. Four of the five games have spreads over 26.5 points, with our one over/under pick looking like a no brainer. Below are the picks for Week 6.
Last Week: 2-2-1
2019 Record: 16-7-2
*All lines are according to Bovada and are accurate at the time posted
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (-35)
Wisconsin has been hammering weaker opponents all season long and it’s not going to stop this week. The Badgers beat USF, 49-0, and fellow MAC member Central Michigan, 61-0. CMU is a better team than Kent State right now, and the Badgers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. MAC opponents. Expect a score similar to the aforementioned games.
Utah State Aggies (+28) vs. LSU Tigers
All Gary Anderson does is cover as a road underdog with a 15-2 record ATS while at Utah State, and the Aggies are 7-0 in their last seven out of conference games. LSU enters this game with a banged up defense and with a huge matchup against Florida upcoming next week, Ed Orgeron could opt to sit many of those players. The Aggies have a terrific quarterback in Jordan Love and a defense that will keep this one closer than the four-touchdown spread.
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-46)
We are chasing A LOT of points in this one, but the Falcons are so bad that you have to take this one. Bowling Green has allowed 547.7 yards and 49.7 points over their last three games. Their opponents? Kansas State, Louisiana Tech and Kent State. The game against the Golden Flashes was a 62-20 drubbing. Just imagine what a Notre Dame team that needs all the style points they can get will do against the Falcons as the Fighting Irish hope to find a way to get back into the College Football Playoff discussion.
Troy Trojans vs. Missouri Tigers (Over 65)
Sometimes Vegas gives us an easy layup, and this is one of them. These are two of the most dynamic offenses in the country with Troy averaging 40.8 points per game, 15th in the nation, and Missouri is not too far behind at 21st, scoring 38.3 points per game. Don’t overthink this one: take the over and watch the fireworks.
Massachusetts Minutemen (+26.5) vs. FIU Panthers
The Minutemen might be one of the worst teams in the FBS. With that said, FIU is no powerhouse that should ever be favored by almost four touchdowns. The Panthers lone win came against a FCS opponent in New Hampshire, and that game ended with a 13-point difference. Granted, UMass has lost every game by double digits, including a loss to a FCS program already this season, but Walt Bell finds a way to keep this game respectable. Worst case scenario, we backdoor our way to a win.
These might be my wildest picks since starting this piece three seasons ago as I’m typically not one to chase huge numbers. Check back with us next week for more and let me know what you think in the comments below or via Twitter. Until next week, SHOW ME THE MONEY!!