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Underdogs Against the Spread: Top Week 3 G5 Football Picks

It’s been a rough start to the season, but we are still firing away on the G5.

Illinois v South Florida Photo by Joseph Garnett Jr. /Getty Images

Week 2 of the Underdogs Against the Spread was dreadful. That’s really all I can say about it.

SMU failed us once again. The way FAU squandered away the cover was a kick to the gut. And of course, this had to be the week that Kansas finally got a win on the road.

The comments on social media were well deserved. It’s been a lousy start to the year thus far, but that’s not stopping us from moving forward. I understand if you hopped off the bandwagon until we right the ship. Most would probably run scared at posting these picks again. I believe in the motto that it’s a marathon and not a sprint. We have plenty of time to get on the right side.

Regardless, here are my picks for Week 3 to get us back on track.


Record: 2-8

*All lines are according to Bovada and are accurate at the time posted

Boise State Broncos vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (Over 64)

I’m honestly surprised this number isn’t at least 70 considering how explosive these two offenses are, but I’m not complaining. While they have been playing against weaker competition in the first two weeks of the season, both teams have scored more than 50 points in each game thus far. Both teams score points in bunches and neither defense has faced a test like the one they are planning for Saturday. Sit back and watch the scoreboard light up.

South Florida Bulls (-10) vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

USF is coming off a huge victory over Georgia Tech in their last time out, while Illinois has struggled against Kent State and Western Illinois. The Illini are also banged up on offense with injuries to quarterback AJ Bush and wide receivers Edwin Carter and Mike Dudek. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. the Big Ten, and add another win to that mark this week.

North Texas Mean Green (+7) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

A one-touchdown favorite would typically be the play when a SEC team plays out of conference, but North Texas has proven they can compete with the big boys. UNT is 5-0 ATS in their last five games against SEC opponents, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. On the flip side, Arkansas is 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games and 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Mean Green should keep this one within striking distance and they have the firepower to pull off an upset.

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls (-3.5)

The Eagles might be 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings against Buffalo, but the Bulls didn’t have a Tyree Jackson and Anthony Johnson in those previous meetings. EMU will also be coming off an emotional high following last week’s upset of Purdue. Buffalo is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall so we’ll back the home team with the short number.

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. FIU Panthers (-4)

FIU has something to play for in their first home game since Mershawn Miller and Anthony Jones were injured in a drive-by shooting last week. The Panthers picked up a 63-45 win over UMass last season, and judging by UMass’ slow start to the year, it could be another lop-sided affair for the Panthers.

Check back with us next week for more and let me know what you think in the comments below or via Twitter. Until next week, SHOW ME THE MONEY!!