It’s been nearly a month since last posting our top G5 against the spread picks due to a loss in the family - love you Antonio - but if you’ve followed me this season, you’re off to a solid start. In Weeks 2 and 3, we complied a 7-2 record, and look to keep it going this week.
Season record: 9-4
*All lines courtesy of Bovada and are accurate as of this posting
It’s never too soon to start the weekend as a winner as this game takes place on Friday night. The thought process here is real simple: WKU has won the last three meetings by 35, 25 and 15 points. ODU’s two wins have come against Albany and UMass, but their four losses have been blowouts of 30, 38, 30 and 32 points. Back the Hilltoppers to once again run away with this one.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5) at Connecticut Huskies
These are two programs coming off shocking wins, but Tulsa’s win over Houston was much more encouraging than UConn over Temple. Neither team plays much defense as each ranks in the bottom five in the country, and if you’re a regular listener to our AAC pawdcast, you know our feelings about UConn. Expect Tulsa to gash the Huskies on the ground to a double-digit victory.
The Vandals have one final shot at ending a 32-game road losing streak against P5 opponents, and while that streak likely continues, it should be a competitive game. Idaho QB Matt Linehan should post solid numbers against a Missouri defense that ranks 126th against the pass. Here are stats to back it up: Idaho is 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, while the Tigers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 overall.
Buffalo Bulls at Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (-3)
A lot of trends to keep in mind in this one. First, Buffalo is 7-0 ATS the spread this season. That has to come to an end eventually. Meanwhile, the favorite is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Miami is better than their 2-5 record indicates and should get the win at home.
I was on the Lane Train before the season started, and now that Lane Kiffin‘s squad has gotten it together, it’s time to ride that money train. Mason Fine is coming off a terrific game for UNT, but it’s the other side of the ball that will determine the outcome here. FAU has the nation’s 38th-ranked offense going up against a North Texas D that ranks 103rd. The Mean Green are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games, while FAU is 4-1 in their last five games.
These are my picks for Week 8. Let me know what you think in the comments below or via Twitter. Until next week, SHOW ME THE MONEY!!