Season Record: 28-18
I went 6-2 last week! Marshall let me down AGAIN and the luck of choosing SMU to cover ran out as the Mustangs lost by more than three points against Memphis. A whole lot more.
I haven’t been able to have back-to-back weeks of success against Vegas so here’s to hoping that I at least go 500.
1. Cincinnati at UCF -11.5: Fans want Tommy Tuberville out and the Bearcats could just flat out not show up and enjoy their mini vacation in Orlando. Give me UCF by at least two touchdowns in this one.
2. Tulsa +2 at Navy: Both Navy and Tulsa have overachieved this year as this game is for first place in AAC West. This game is pretty much a pick em’ and I’ll take the Golden Hurricane as I just trust their offense more.
3. Miami Ohio -10 at Buffalo: The Red Hawks have won four games in a row after losing six straight to start the season and will face the worst team in the MAC. Red Hawks cover easily with a bowl game in sight.
4. Rice at Charlotte -10.5: The 49ers have been itching for a breakout performance at home this year and playing a Rice squad who is dealing with a ton of injuries is the perfect matchup for a blowout victory for Charlotte.
5. Appalachian State at Troy -1.5: Another pick em game for first place in the Sun Belt. Troy is averaging 48 points per game in Movie Gallery Stadium (I know it’s not called that anymore but damn it that name was awesome). I just have a gut feeling Troy is going to come away with the win.
6. UTSA +21.5 at Louisiana Tech: The Roadrunners turned me into a believer after last week’s performance on the road against Middle Tennessee. They have the perfect identity of offense to combat the pass heavy offenses in C-USA. I don’t think they will win but they will cover.
7. Boise State -17.5 at Hawaii: This spread is a touchdown off. Hawaii has been surprisingly not awful but against Boise that still means you lose by three touchdowns.
8. Army at Notre Dame -14: As great as it would be to see Notre Dame lose to both Army and Navy in one season that’s not happening.
9. North Texas +28.5 at Western Kentucky: WKU has raced out to big leads only for opponents to back cover the spread in the fourth quarter. I see that happening again here.
10. Tulane at Houston -24.5: Tulane couldn’t handle UCF’s spread offense and will now try and control a Houston spread with a much better quarterback running the show. Nope.